Understanding Strong Highs, Weak Highs, Strong Lows, and Weak Lows
Learn to identify key price levels for optimal stop-loss placement and improve your risk management with precise technical analysis.
If you prefer watching over reading, check out this 2-minute YouTube video where I go over the 4 essential risk management trading tools every trader must use. I'll explain stop-loss orders, risk-to-reward ratios, position sizing calculators, and the crucial 1-2% rule that can protect your trading account from devastating losses.
Stop-loss orders act as a safety net for your trades by automatically closing positions when prices reach predefined levels, limiting potential losses regardless of how far the market might fall.
Risk-to-reward ratio is a crucial trading metric that compares potential losses to potential gains—targeting a minimum 1:3 ratio allows traders to be profitable even with win rates below 50%.
Position sizing calculators help determine exactly how many shares, contracts, or lots to trade based on your account size, risk percentage, and stop-loss distance, ensuring consistent risk across different instruments.
The 1-2% rule states you should never risk more than 1-2% of your trading capital on any single trade, protecting you from catastrophic drawdowns during inevitable losing streaks.
A comprehensive risk management strategy integrates all four tools: stop-loss orders, favorable risk-reward ratios, precise position sizing, and adherence to the 1-2% rule—transforming trading from gambling to calculated risk-taking.
Trading without proper risk management is like driving without a seatbelt – you might be fine for a while, but eventually, disaster will strike. In my years of trading experience, I've seen countless traders focus exclusively on finding the "perfect entry" while completely neglecting how they'll manage their risk. The truth? Even the best trading strategy will fail without proper risk management tools.
In this comprehensive guide, I'll share the four essential risk management tools that have saved my trading account (and sanity) multiple times. These aren't just theoretical concepts – they're practical tools you can implement immediately to protect your capital and improve your trading results.
A stop-loss order is your trading safety net. It's a predefined exit point that automatically closes your position if the market moves against you, limiting your potential loss on any trade.
Stop-Loss Order Explained: A stop-loss is an order to sell a stock, crypto or forex pair automatically when it reaches a certain price. The goal with a stop-loss is to limit a trader or investors loss on a position.
Here's a simple example: If you buy a stock at $100 and set a stop-loss at $90, your trading platform will automatically sell your position if the price drops to $90, limiting your loss to 10% regardless of how far the price might fall afterward.
Stop-loss orders aren't just for minimizing damage – they serve several crucial purposes:
Emotion removal: They execute automatically, preventing emotional decision-making during market downturns
Loss limitation: They define your maximum acceptable loss before you enter a trade
Account preservation: They protect your trading capital from catastrophic losses
Sleep improvement: They allow you to step away from your screen knowing your downside is protected
There are several types of stop-loss orders you should be familiar with:
Fixed-price stops: Set at a specific price level
Percentage stops: Set at a percentage below your entry price
Volatility-based stops: Adjusted based on market volatility (like using ATR)
Time-based stops: Exit a trade after a predefined time period if it's not performing
Trailing stops: Move upward as price moves in your favor, locking in profits
Strategic stop-loss placement is critical. Here are some effective methods:
Support/resistance levels: Place stops beyond significant support (for short positions) or resistance (for long positions)
Recent swing points: Place stops beyond recent swing highs/lows
Volatility-based: Place stops at a distance that accounts for normal market noise (e.g., 2 × ATR)
Percentage-based: Place stops at a fixed percentage from your entry (e.g., 5%)
Remember: Your stop-loss placement should always align with your market analysis. If your analysis becomes invalid at a certain price point, that's where your stop-loss belongs.
The risk-to-reward ratio might be the single most important concept in trading. It compares what you're risking on a trade to what you expect to gain.
What it is: The risk-to-reward ratio compares what you're risking on a trade to what you expect to gain. It's arguably the single most important concept in trading.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio = Potential Loss / Potential Gain
Example: If you buy at $100 with a stop-loss at $90 and target of $130:
The Math Behind the Magic: With a 50% win rate:
Same win rate, dramatically different outcomes!
Finding 1:3 Risk-Reward Setups:
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The formula is simple: Risk-to-Reward Ratio = Potential Loss / Potential Gain
For example, if you buy a stock at $100 with a stop-loss at $90 and a profit target at $130:
Your risk is $10 per share ($100 - $90)
Your reward is $30 per share ($130 - $100)
Your risk-to-reward ratio is 1:3 (risking $1 to make $3)
The power of favorable risk-to-reward ratios becomes clear when you do the math. Consider these scenarios for a trader with a 50% win rate:
Scenario 1: 1:1 Risk-to-Reward Ratio
10 trades, 5 winners, 5 losers
Winners: 5 trades × $100 gain = $500
Losers: 5 trades × $100 loss = $500
Net result: $0 (breakeven)
Scenario 2: 1:3 Risk-to-Reward Ratio
10 trades, 5 winners, 5 losers
Winners: 5 trades × $300 gain = $1,500
Losers: 5 trades × $100 loss = $500
Net result: $1,000 profit
Same win rate, dramatically different outcomes.
I aim for a minimum 1:3 risk-to-reward ratio on every trade. Here's how I find these setups:
Identify major support/resistance levels where price is likely to reverse
Wait for price to approach these levels with momentum slowing
Enter when confirmation signals appear (reversal candlestick patterns, divergences, etc.)
Place stops beyond invalidation points (beyond support/resistance)
Set profit targets at the next major level in the direction of your trade
The best setups often emerge at the intersection of multiple timeframes, where support/resistance on higher timeframes aligns with reversal signals on lower timeframes.
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Upgrade Your Risk Analysis →Position sizing is where most traders go wrong. It's not enough to know where to enter and exit – you need to know how much to trade.
Position sizing determines how many shares, contracts, or lots you should trade based on your account size, risk tolerance, and the specific trade setup. It answers the question: "How much should I risk on this particular trade?"
The basic formula is: Position Size = (Account Size × Risk Percentage) ÷ Risk Per Share
For example, with a $10,000 account, risking 1% ($100) on a trade with a $5 per share stop-loss distance: Position Size = $100 ÷ $5 = 20 shares
For precision, I use a dedicated position sizing calculator for every trade. This calculator:
Takes my account size as input
Applies my risk percentage (usually 1-2%)
Calculates my dollar risk amount
Factors in my stop-loss distance
Outputs the exact position size I should take
This systematic approach ensures I'm risking a consistent percentage of my account on every trade, regardless of the instrument's price or volatility.
Formula: Position Size = (Account Size × Risk Percentage) ÷ Risk Per Share
Example: With a $10,000 account, risking 1% ($100), and a $5 per share stop distance, you should buy 20 shares.
Remember: Proper position sizing is essential for consistent risk management. Never risk more than your predetermined percentage on any trade.
Position sizing varies slightly across markets:
Stocks: Calculate shares based on dollar risk and stop distance in dollars
Forex: Calculate lot size based on pip value and stop distance in pips
Futures: Calculate contracts based on tick value and stop distance in ticks
Options: Calculate contracts based on premium and maximum acceptable loss
The principle remains the same: never risk more than your predetermined percentage on any single trade.
Perhaps the most critical risk management principle is the 1-2% rule, which states that you should never risk more than 1-2% of your trading account on any single trade.
The 1-2% rule protects you from the inevitable losing streaks that all traders experience. Consider what happens if you have 10 consecutive losing trades (which is rare but possible):
Risking 10% per trade: 10 losses = 65% account drawdown (virtually impossible to recover from)
Risking 5% per trade: 10 losses = 40% account drawdown (very difficult to recover from)
Risking 2% per trade: 10 losses = 18% account drawdown (manageable)
Risking 1% per trade: 10 losses = 9.6% account drawdown (easily recoverable)
The math is clear: keeping your risk small per trade is essential for survival.
To apply this rule:
Calculate 1-2% of your current account balance (use total equity, not margin)
Determine your stop-loss distance in price terms
Calculate how many shares/contracts/lots keep your risk within 1-2%
Never exceed this position size, regardless of how "certain" you feel
For smaller accounts (under $10,000), I recommend staying closer to 1% risk per trade. As your account grows, you might consider a sliding scale (e.g., 2% for accounts under $25,000, 1.5% for $25,000-$100,000, 1% for over $100,000).
An important consideration: if you're taking multiple correlated trades (like buying several tech stocks or currency pairs that move together), your effective risk is higher than it appears. In these cases, reduce your per-trade risk accordingly.
For example, if you're trading three highly correlated currency pairs, consider risking only 0.5% per trade to keep your effective portfolio risk around 1.5%.
A comprehensive risk management approach integrates all four tools we've discussed. Here's my step-by-step process for every trade:
Identify the trade setup and entry point based on your trading strategy
Determine your stop-loss placement at the point where your analysis would be invalidated
Identify your profit target based on the next significant level or a measured move
Calculate your risk-to-reward ratio and only proceed if it's at least 1:3
Apply the 1-2% rule to determine your maximum dollar risk on this trade
Use a position sizing calculator to determine exactly how much to trade
Execute the trade with precise position size and stop-loss orders
Monitor and adjust as needed (e.g., moving stops to breakeven after partial targets are hit)
This systematic approach removes emotion from the equation and transforms trading from gambling to calculated risk-taking.
Let's put everything together with a practical example:
Account size: $25,000
Risk per trade: 1% ($250)
Trade setup: Long ABC stock at $50
Stop-loss: $47 (below recent support)
Profit target: $59 (at resistance)
Risk per share: $3 ($50 - $47)
Reward per share: $9 ($59 - $50)
Risk-to-reward ratio: 1:3 (risking $3 to make $9)
Position size: $250 ÷ $3 = 83 shares
By applying all four risk management tools, we've created a trade that:
Limits loss to 1% of the account if wrong
Offers a 3% gain if right
Has a defined exit strategy for both profit and loss scenarios
Can be part of a sustainable trading approach
When you consistently apply these principles, something magical happens: your account can grow steadily even with a modest win rate.
For example, with a 40% win rate and a 1:3 risk-reward ratio:
10 trades: 4 winners, 6 losers
Winners: 4 trades × 3% gain = 12% account growth
Losers: 6 trades × 1% loss = 6% account decrease
Net result: +6% account growth
This is the power of risk management – turning a losing win rate into a profitable approach through superior money management.
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Try Bybit's Risk Management Tools →A stop-loss order is designed to limit your losses by automatically exiting a trade when the price moves against you by a predetermined amount. It triggers a sell order when prices fall below your specified level (for long positions) or a buy order when prices rise above your specified level (for short positions). A take-profit order, on the other hand, automatically closes your position when the price moves in your favor to a predetermined profit target. While stop-loss orders protect you from excessive losses, take-profit orders secure your gains when price targets are reached without requiring you to actively monitor the market.
The ideal risk-to-reward ratio depends on your trading strategy, timeframe, and win rate. As a general guideline, aim for at least a 1:2 ratio (risking $1 to make $2), with 1:3 or higher being preferable for most traders. For strategies with lower win rates (30-40%), you'll need higher ratios like 1:4 or 1:5 to remain profitable over time. Day traders might work with tighter ratios like 1:1.5 due to more frequent trading opportunities, while swing or position traders should target higher ratios like 1:3 or better. Track your historical win rate and adjust your minimum acceptable risk-reward ratio accordingly—if your strategy only wins 40% of the time, you'll need at least a 1:2 ratio to be profitable in the long run.
While consistently risking 1% provides excellent capital protection, you can adjust your risk percentage based on several factors. Consider using a "tiered" approach where you might risk 0.5% on speculative setups, 1% on standard trades, and up to 2% on high-conviction setups with exceptional risk-reward profiles. Account size is also relevant—smaller accounts might need to risk 2% to overcome minimum position sizes and commissions, while very large accounts might limit risk to 0.5% or less to avoid liquidity issues. The key principle is consistency—establish clear rules for when you'll adjust your risk percentage and stick to them rather than making emotional decisions during trading.
For stocks: Position Size = (Account Size × Risk Percentage) ÷ (Entry Price - Stop-Loss Price). For example, with a $20,000 account risking 1% ($200) on a stock entered at $50 with a stop at $46, your position size would be $200 ÷ $4 = 50 shares. For forex: Position Size in Lots = (Account Currency × Risk Percentage) ÷ (Stop-Loss in Pips × Pip Value). For futures: Position Size in Contracts = (Account Size × Risk Percentage) ÷ (Stop-Loss in Ticks × Tick Value). Specialized position sizing calculators are available for each market that can handle these calculations automatically—many trading platforms have these built-in, or you can use third-party tools that account for the specific characteristics of each market.
When your position sizing calculation results in a position that's too small (below the minimum lot or contract size), you have several options: 1) Consider trading a more affordable instrument that allows proper position sizing with your account size, 2) Widen your stop-loss slightly while maintaining a favorable risk-reward ratio, 3) Use micro or mini contracts/lots where available (like micro futures or mini forex lots), 4) Skip the trade and wait for setups that allow proper position sizing, or 5) Focus on growing your account through consistent trading before attempting instruments that require larger capital. Never increase your risk percentage beyond your predetermined limits just to take a trade—this is how account blow-ups begin. Remember that capital preservation is your first priority as a trader.
When trading correlated instruments (like several tech stocks or forex pairs that move together), your overall portfolio risk is higher than the sum of individual position risks. To manage this, implement these strategies: 1) Reduce your per-position risk—if your normal risk is 1% per trade, consider 0.25-0.5% for correlated positions, 2) Calculate your "effective exposure" by instrument type, sector, or correlation group and set maximum exposure limits (e.g., no more than 2% total risk in tech stocks), 3) Use a correlation matrix to identify highly correlated pairs (>0.7 correlation) and treat them as a single risk unit, 4) Consider using portfolio heat maps to visualize your exposure across different markets, and 5) Implement portfolio-level stop-losses that trigger when your total drawdown reaches a predetermined threshold (like 3-5%). The goal is to avoid scenarios where multiple positions could all move against you simultaneously due to a single market event.
Risk management isn't just a defensive measure – it's the offensive lineman that protects your capital so your trading strategy can score points. No matter how good your entries are, without these four essential risk management tools, long-term trading success will remain elusive.
To recap, implement these four tools on every trade:
Stop-loss orders to define and limit your potential loss
Risk-to-reward analysis to ensure each trade has positive expectancy
Position sizing calculator to determine the precise amount to trade
The 1-2% rule to preserve your capital through inevitable drawdowns
Remember this fundamental truth: successful trading is not about being right all the time – it's about making more when you're right than you lose when you're wrong, and living to trade another day.
Ready to take your trading to the next level? Access my full (free) risk management course by clicking this link. For MindMathGold and MindMathDiamond members, you'll also get exclusive access to my position sizing calculator.
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I bought my first stock at 16, and since then, financial markets have fascinated me. Understanding how human behavior shapes market structure and price action is both intellectually and financially rewarding.
I’ve always loved teaching—helping people have their “aha moments” is an amazing feeling. That’s why I created Mind Math Money to share insights on trading, technical analysis, and finance.
Over the years, I’ve built a community of over 200,000 YouTube followers, all striving to become better traders. Check out my YouTube channel for more insights and tutorials.